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On Friday, two fierce divisional rivals, the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies, are set to battle it out on the field in the opening game of a three-game series. It’s time to continue our MLB odds series with a prediction and choice for the Mets vs. Phillies.
The first-place New York Mets are 14-6 through 20 games and have officially put baseball on notice. The Mets couldn’t have asked for a better start to the new season, even if they still have roughly 140 games to play in 2022.
Following a 10-5 setback to the Cardinals on Thursday, the Yankees will want to rebound with right-hander Tylor Megill, who has a perfect 3-0 record through four starts.
During the homestand, everything fell into place for Philadelphia, as they battered Colorado pitchers for 32 runs at Citizens Bank Park. RHP Aaron Nola will take the mound for the Phillies, bringing a 1-2 record and 3.74 ERA in four starts versus the Mets.
Here are the MLB odds for the Mets vs. Phillies, courtesy of FanDuel:
MLB Odds: Mets vs. Phillies
+1.5 for the New York Mets (-205)
-1.5 (+168) Philadelphia Phillies
Count: 7 (-100)
Count: 7 (-122)
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Why the Mets Have a Chance to Cover the Spread
The Mets supporters at Citi Field will be pumped and ready to go after six games on the road, particularly given how brilliantly New York has been playing to start 2022. After a succession of early-season beanings that culminated in a Wednesday benches-clearing fight against the Cardinals, don’t expect emotions to be low against the Phillies, a team that has previously tried New York’s patience. This season, New York has been struck 19 times, while no other Major League club has been hit more than 14 times in 2022.
If the Mets can retain their cool, they should be able to let their performance speak for itself and cover the spread with a deadly combination of pitching and hitting. The Mets had one of the finest records in the National League, while being incredibly irritated at times.
The bats have been the most important factor in New York’s success. The Mets boast one of the finest hitting teams in the league, both statistically and on paper. The Mets have 94 runs scored and are hitting.259, which is excellent for the second-best batting average in baseball.
While the pitching has been equally dominating, names on the staff such as RHP Tylor Megill have demonstrated that he belongs after a promising April start. Yes, Max Scherzer leads almost every statistical pitching metric through the first month of the season, but Megill has undoubtedly given his team a boost. Megill is coming off a strong game against the Diamondbacks on Sunday, in which he pitched seven innings with a season-high seven strikeouts and only surrendered two runs.
The Phillies’ Chances of Covering the Spread
The Phillies, who were 6-10 earlier in the week, have battled their way back to.500 after sweeping the Rockies in a four-game series. The Phillies are finally looking like a club that may make a splash in 2022, as they are now the hottest team at the bat.
The Phillies are currently second in baseball with 96 men crossing the plate, with the bulk of their runs coming against the Rockies over the last several days. Philadelphia has ideal balance inside the batter’s box, with a lofty.256 batting average and the ability to send the baseball whistling into the outfield bleachers, with a slugging percentage of.413.
The pitching has been a source of worry so far, but the Phillies seemed to have figured it out against Colorado, allowing just nine runs in 36 innings. Because this is a quality bunch that may still be influenced by the shorter Spring Training, it wouldn’t be surprising if the pitching staff and bullpen are the reasons Philadelphia might cover the spread against New York on Friday evening.
Aaron Nola, a 28-year-old right-hander, was virtually flawless in his previous start, striking out nine Brewers and allowing just one hit over seven innings of excellent baseball.
Final Mets-Phillies Prediction & Pick
After an arduous and psychologically taxing few days, the Mets deserved a day off, and anticipate tiredness to emerge against the Phillies on Friday. There isn’t a single club in the league that wants to face Philadelphia right now. New York has played well, but they’ll fall just short of covering the spread against Aaron Nola, who is on fire.
Final Mets-Phillies Prediction & Pick: Phillies +1.5 (-205)
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